Ashdod U-19 vs Maccabi Petah Tikva U-19 prediction

Ashdod U-19

Match start date: Apr 26, 2025

VS

Tournament: Israel. Youth Premier League

Place a bet

Maccabi Petah Tikva U-19

Our app uses a special algorithm to predict the outcome of the match between Ashdod U-19 and Maccabi Petah Tikva U-19. This algorithm is designed to detect any inaccuracies in the bookmakers' odds by analyzing a vast amount of input data.

Ashdod U-19

For Ashdod U-19, we analyze their last 8 matches, taking into account various factors such as the quality of their performance, the match results, the location of the match (whether it was played at home or away), and the strength of their opponents. To determine the strength of the opponents, we look at the results of their previous matches. For each game, we will give the team Ashdod U-19 conditional points, which later will be used to determine the favorite.

05/04

Home

32 Hapoel Tel Aviv U-19

0:1

+29

29/03

Away

35 Maccabi Netanya U-19

1:1

+39

12/03

Home

48 Maccabi Tel Aviv U-19

0:5

+2

26/02

Away

56 Maccabi Haifa U-19

1:5

+3

22/02

Home

28 Hapoel Nir Ramat HaSharon U-19

1:2

+19

08/02

Away

23 Maccabi Petah Tikva U-19

1:2

+18

26/01

Home

35 Maccabi Netanya U-19

1:3

+4

18/01

Away

48 Maccabi Tel Aviv U-19

0:2

+6

Maccabi Petah Tikva U-19

Similarly, for Maccabi Petah Tikva U-19, we analyze their last 8 matches using the same approach.

05/04

Home

35 Ironi Kiryat Shmona U-19

0:1

+29

12/03

Home

56 Maccabi Haifa U-19

0:1

+44

26/02

Home

28 Hapoel Nir Ramat HaSharon U-19

3:0

+127

22/02

Away

48 Maccabi Tel Aviv U-19

0:1

+41

08/02

Home

22 Ashdod U-19

2:1

+32

25/01

Home

32 Hapoel Tel Aviv U-19

3:3

+29

18/01

Away

56 Maccabi Haifa U-19

0:4

+2

10/01

Home

28 Hapoel Nir Ramat HaSharon U-19

3:3

+22

Identifying the favourite

After analyzing both teams' last 8 matches, we've assigned 120 points to the home team and 326 points to the away team. This suggests that one team has an advantage over the other. However, it's important to consider that the home team (Ashdod U-19) is playing on their own turf, which may slightly improve their chances of winning.

Accumulated points

Ashdod U-19 120
Maccabi Petah Tikva U-19 326

To determine what percentage of victories each team achieves at home and away, we've compiled statistics from several recent years to eliminate any chance-related factors. It turns out that 57.81% of victories for the team Ashdod U-19 occurred in home matches. For the team Maccabi Petah Tikva U-19 this indicator is 51.72%. On average, this equates to 54.77%, suggesting a slight advantage for Ashdod U-19 all other things being equal.

Percentage of home wins by teams

Ashdod U-19

Ashdod U-19 57.81%

Maccabi Petah Tikva U-19

Maccabi Petah Tikva U-19 51.72%

Average

Average 54.77%

Now, to determine the favorite of the match, we will take 54.77% of the home team's points and 45.23% of the away team's points. It turns out that the favorite of the match is Maccabi Petah Tikva U-19 with an advantage of 148 points against 66. If we convert it to a percentage ratio, it will be 69.13% to 30.87%.

Points earned with home win percentage

Ashdod U-19 66
Maccabi Petah Tikva U-19 148

Bookmakers odds and probability

Now let's see who the bookmakers consider the favorite and compare their data with our calculations. The bookmakers estimate the probability of a draw in this match at 25.32% with a coefficient of 3.95. The coefficient for the home team's victory is 3.16, and for the away team's victory it is 2.32. If we exclude the draw, the probability of the home team's victory will be 42.31%, and the away team's victory - 57.69%. This differs from our calculations.

Comparison of calculated data with bookmakers

Bookmakers

Ashdod U-19 42.31%
Maccabi Petah Tikva U-19 57.69%

Our calculation

Ashdod U-19 30.87%
Maccabi Petah Tikva U-19 69.13%

Match prediction

As a result of the analysis conducted, an inaccuracy was found in the bookmaker's line. In our opinion, the probability of Maccabi Petah Tikva U-19's victory is an order of magnitude higher than what the bookmakers think. The difference is 11.44%. The coefficient for the team's victory is 2.32, while in reality, it should be 1.94.

Comparison with bookmakers odds

Home Win

Draw

Away Win

Bookmakers

3.16

3.95

2.32

Our calculation

4.34

3.95

1.94

We suggest using our prediction. But we do not guarantee that the bet will definitely win. Our strategy is designed to generate profits over the long term.

Away Win

2.32

Our prediction statistics

2025 March

QUANTITY 2446

ROI +9.69%

EARNINGS +$23697

2025 April

QUANTITY 3032

ROI +7.49%

EARNINGS +$22715

21 April 2025 - 27 April 2025

QUANTITY 886

ROI +11.62%

EARNINGS +$10292

Current football predictions

Poland. I Liga

12/05

Wisla Krakow - Arka Gdynia

Home Win

2.89

Spain. Primera Division

20:00

Villarreal - Leganes

Away Win

10.35

20:00

Alaves - Valencia

Away Win

4.03

22:30

Real Madrid - Mallorca

Away Win

8.26

USA. MLS

15/05

D.C. United - New York City

TOP

Away Win

3.11

15/05

Montreal - Columbus Crew

Home Win

3.57

15/05

Toronto FC - FC Cincinnati

TOP

Home Win

3.16

15/05

Philadelphia Union - Los Angeles Galaxy

TOP

Home Win

1.71

15/05

Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United

Away Win

2.76

15/05

Nashville - New York Red Bulls

TOP

Home Win

2.04