Cordoba vs Sporting Gijon prediction

Cordoba

Match start date: Mar 15, 2025

VS

Tournament: Spain. Segunda Division

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Sporting Gijon

Our app uses a special algorithm to predict the outcome of the match between Cordoba and Sporting Gijon. This algorithm is designed to detect any inaccuracies in the bookmakers' odds by analyzing a vast amount of input data.

Cordoba

For Cordoba, we analyze their last 8 matches, taking into account various factors such as the quality of their performance, the match results, the location of the match (whether it was played at home or away), and the strength of their opponents. To determine the strength of the opponents, we look at the results of their previous matches. For each game, we will give the team Cordoba conditional points, which later will be used to determine the favorite.

07/03

Away

32 Deportivo de la Coruna

1:1

+41

02/03

Home

33 Granada

5:0

+152

22/02

Away

14 Racing Ferrol

1:0

+29

15/02

Away

19 Tenerife

3:2

+41

09/02

Home

36 Huesca

1:2

+26

02/02

Away

10 FC Cartagena

1:0

+17

25/01

Home

32 Racing Santander

1:2

+18

19/01

Away

25 Castellon

2:1

+40

Sporting Gijon

Similarly, for Sporting Gijon, we analyze their last 8 matches using the same approach.

08/03

Home

32 Racing Santander

1:1

+29

01/03

Away

21 Zaragoza

1:1

+25

22/02

Home

38 Almeria

1:1

+33

16/02

Away

41 Levante

0:0

+51

08/02

Home

27 Eibar

0:0

+18

01/02

Home

26 Burgos

2:0

+45

26/01

Away

33 Granada

1:3

+5

18/01

Home

42 Elche

1:1

+27

Identifying the favourite

After analyzing both teams' last 8 matches, we've assigned 363 points to the home team and 234 points to the away team. This suggests that one team has an advantage over the other. However, it's important to consider that the home team (Cordoba) is playing on their own turf, which may slightly improve their chances of winning.

Accumulated points

Cordoba 363
Sporting Gijon 234

To determine what percentage of victories each team achieves at home and away, we've compiled statistics from several recent years to eliminate any chance-related factors. It turns out that 62.07% of victories for the team Cordoba occurred in home matches. For the team Sporting Gijon this indicator is 62.26%. On average, this equates to 62.17%, suggesting a slight advantage for Cordoba all other things being equal.

Percentage of home wins by teams

Cordoba

Cordoba 62.07%

Sporting Gijon

Sporting Gijon 62.26%

Average

Average 62.17%

Now, to determine the favorite of the match, we will take 62.17% of the home team's points and 37.83% of the away team's points. It turns out that the favorite of the match is Cordoba with an advantage of 226 points against 88. If we convert it to a percentage ratio, it will be 71.85% to 28.15%.

Points earned with home win percentage

Cordoba 226
Sporting Gijon 88

Bookmakers odds and probability

Now let's see who the bookmakers consider the favorite and compare their data with our calculations. The bookmakers estimate the probability of a draw in this match at 30.3% with a coefficient of 3.3. The coefficient for the home team's victory is 2.32, and for the away team's victory it is 3.76. If we exclude the draw, the probability of the home team's victory will be 61.81%, and the away team's victory - 38.19%. This differs from our calculations.

Comparison of calculated data with bookmakers

Bookmakers

Cordoba 61.81%
Sporting Gijon 38.19%

Our calculation

Cordoba 71.85%
Sporting Gijon 28.15%

Match prediction

As a result of the analysis conducted, an inaccuracy was found in the bookmaker's line. In our opinion, the probability of Cordoba's victory is an order of magnitude higher than what the bookmakers think. The difference is 10.04%. The coefficient for the team's victory is 2.32, while in reality, it should be 2.

Comparison with bookmakers odds

Home Win

Draw

Away Win

Bookmakers

2.32

3.3

3.76

Our calculation

2

3.3

5.1

We suggest using our prediction. But we do not guarantee that the bet will definitely win. Our strategy is designed to generate profits over the long term.

Home Win

2.32

Our prediction statistics

2025 February

QUANTITY 2259

ROI +13.41%

EARNINGS +$30296

2025 March

QUANTITY 1635

ROI +9.07%

EARNINGS +$14830

Previous week

QUANTITY 620

ROI +13.84%

EARNINGS +$8583

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