Caykur Rizespor vs Bodrumspor prediction

Caykur Rizespor

Match start date: Mar 16, 2025

VS

Tournament: Turkey. Super Lig

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Bodrumspor

Our app uses a special algorithm to predict the outcome of the match between Caykur Rizespor and Bodrumspor. This algorithm is designed to detect any inaccuracies in the bookmakers' odds by analyzing a vast amount of input data.

Caykur Rizespor

For Caykur Rizespor, we analyze their last 8 matches, taking into account various factors such as the quality of their performance, the match results, the location of the match (whether it was played at home or away), and the strength of their opponents. To determine the strength of the opponents, we look at the results of their previous matches. For each game, we will give the team Caykur Rizespor conditional points, which later will be used to determine the favorite.

08/03

Away

26 Antalyaspor

1:2

+34

02/03

Home

23 Alanyaspor

3:1

+43

22/02

Away

40 Samsunspor

3:2

+102

17/02

Home

51 Galatasaray

1:2

+28

09/02

Away

30 Kasimpasa

2:3

+29

02/02

Away

52 Fenerbahce

2:3

+48

26/01

Home

10 Adana Demirspor

3:2

+10

18/01

Away

29 Istanbul Basaksehir

0:2

+4

Bodrumspor

Similarly, for Bodrumspor, we analyze their last 8 matches using the same approach.

07/03

Home

30 Kasimpasa

1:0

+47

01/03

Away

10 Adana Demirspor

0:0

+14

21/02

Home

16 Hatayspor

1:0

+18

15/02

Away

29 Istanbul Basaksehir

1:0

+61

10/02

Home

30 Goztepe

0:0

+21

31/01

Away

21 Konyaspor

1:3

+3

26/01

Home

36 Eyupspor

0:1

+19

18/01

Away

36 Gazisehir Gaziantep

0:0

+39

Identifying the favourite

After analyzing both teams' last 8 matches, we've assigned 299 points to the home team and 223 points to the away team. This suggests that one team has an advantage over the other. However, it's important to consider that the home team (Caykur Rizespor) is playing on their own turf, which may slightly improve their chances of winning.

Accumulated points

Caykur Rizespor 299
Bodrumspor 223

To determine what percentage of victories each team achieves at home and away, we've compiled statistics from several recent years to eliminate any chance-related factors. It turns out that 72.31% of victories for the team Caykur Rizespor occurred in home matches. For the team Bodrumspor this indicator is 66.67%. On average, this equates to 69.49%, suggesting a slight advantage for Caykur Rizespor all other things being equal.

Percentage of home wins by teams

Caykur Rizespor

Caykur Rizespor 72.31%

Bodrumspor

Bodrumspor 66.67%

Average

Average 69.49%

Now, to determine the favorite of the match, we will take 69.49% of the home team's points and 30.51% of the away team's points. It turns out that the favorite of the match is Caykur Rizespor with an advantage of 208 points against 68. If we convert it to a percentage ratio, it will be 75.38% to 24.62%.

Points earned with home win percentage

Caykur Rizespor 208
Bodrumspor 68

Bookmakers odds and probability

Now let's see who the bookmakers consider the favorite and compare their data with our calculations. The bookmakers estimate the probability of a draw in this match at 31.45% with a coefficient of 3.18. The coefficient for the home team's victory is 2.21, and for the away team's victory it is 4.27. If we exclude the draw, the probability of the home team's victory will be 65.85%, and the away team's victory - 34.15%. This differs from our calculations.

Comparison of calculated data with bookmakers

Bookmakers

Caykur Rizespor 65.85%
Bodrumspor 34.15%

Our calculation

Caykur Rizespor 75.38%
Bodrumspor 24.62%

Match prediction

As a result of the analysis conducted, an inaccuracy was found in the bookmaker's line. In our opinion, the probability of Caykur Rizespor's victory is an order of magnitude higher than what the bookmakers think. The difference is 9.15%. The coefficient for the team's victory is 2.21, while in reality, it should be 1.94.

Comparison with bookmakers odds

Home Win

Draw

Away Win

Bookmakers

2.21

3.18

4.27

Our calculation

1.94

3.18

5.93

We suggest using our prediction. But we do not guarantee that the bet will definitely win. Our strategy is designed to generate profits over the long term.

Home Win

2.21

Our prediction statistics

2025 February

QUANTITY 2259

ROI +13.41%

EARNINGS +$30296

2025 March

QUANTITY 1479

ROI +9.05%

EARNINGS +$13379

Previous week

QUANTITY 609

ROI +11.65%

EARNINGS +$7095

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